Want to Sell High? Get Inside Buyers’ Heads.

It’s no secret in real estate that, ultimately, price trumps all else. Every home will sell in a certain amount of time, at any given list price. Want to sell that mansion in Puslinch in twenty minutes? List it for $50,000. Don’t know why your 900 sq. ft. bungalow on Speedvale hasn’t sold in 9 years? It might be because you’re asking $750,000.

Extreme examples, sure. But it illustrates the point that the asking price, relative to the buyers’ perceived value of the house can have a profound impact on the time it takes to sell. When the list price exceeds perceived value, the house will sit on the market longer. If buyers see more value than the numerical value a seller puts on it, well then that’s where we see property move quickly.

The goal then, from a Realtor’s point of view is to strike the perfect harmony between a buyer’s willingness to pay and the sellers’ expectations and needs in terms of sale proceeds. Only in the rarest of circumstances, especially today, can a listing agent dupe buyers into paying more for a house than it’s worth. And sellers can be nieve in thinking otherwise. Just because, as a seller, you “need” a certain number for the house doesn’t mean there’s a single human on the planet who will give you that figure. Not to mention that today’s buyers are savvier than ever and shop loaded with information including: sale prices, days on market statistics, fact sheets on comparable properties and all sorts of other goodies readily accessible through a Realtor. The market, as a whole, doesn’t make mistakes.

Now that’s not to say that some sucker won’t. I’ve seen it before and I’ll see it a million more times where someone bought a house privately (*slams head into desk*), or on bad advice, and wound up paying way too much. But Buyer Representation Agreements, BRA’s for short, create a responsibility for agents to protect their buyer clients’ interests, and that includes not allowing them to overpay substantially without interjection & consultation. This means that as soon as a buyer locks in with their agent, your chance of taking them to the cleaners as a seller is virtually nil.

So, then, how do we manage to differenitate good agents from bad ones & smart sellers from suckers? A lot of it can boil down to the psychology behind a list price. The difference between a good deal & a bad deal is growing ever slimmer and outliers becoming more and more rare; but research has gone into strategizing a list price, and here’s what it says: The “just below” pricing model you see on listings every day generates greater sale prices than other pricing strategies.

For the same reason McDonald’s charges $4.99 for a Big Mac, and everything at Wal-Mart costs $X.96; selling your home for just less than a given number can make all the difference.

In fact, evidence from a December Washington Post article suggests that this charm pricing strategy -to make the house look more affordable- can actually result in a seller receiving 2% more on average than homes using a different strategy. And while 2% might not sound like much, consider that most buyer or “co-operating” agents earn a 2-2.5% commission for representing the buyer. In essence, with this strategy, you can have a buyer brought to your door for free.

There were more than a few highlights to the story, which I’d highly recommend reading in full at the source. That said, in an effort to summarize both the article & my thoughts:

1. Ignore the urge to meet search criteria. In a very aware move, the researchers asked buyers for their take on homes priced at a dead-even number such as $300,000. In theory, with so many buyers using auto-search criteria & Realtor.ca price ranges, evenly priced houses might show up in a few more searches than their unevenly priced counterparts. At $300k for example, you might show up in searches from $250k-$300k & $300k-$325k; a perceived benefit. In reality, feedback from buyers suggested that they felt sellers were just ballparking their asking prices and weren’t sure what it was really worth. On the other hand, a $299,900 list price looked like a bargain.

Charm Pricing

Source: Econsultancy/Arie Shpanya, 2014

2. Charm pricing promotes over-pricing. Just like in “The Goods” starring Jeremy Piven (an unjustly underrated movie, FWIW), the product doesn’t need to be a good deal- it just needs to look like it is. List prices designed to feel like a bargain didn’t end up being one for buyers. In fact, they were more overpriced than employers of any other pricing strategy… to the tune of about 5% each time. In the movie, Piven’s character, Don Ready, employs the classic “put a higher price sticker on the windshield, just to tear it off and close the guy with a bargain” move that car salesmen are known for. Home sellers do it too, whether they know they are or not.

3. There’s a method to the madness. Only 45% of listings took the charm pricing approach; with others deviating to the round-number pricing to fit search criteria, or an exact price (ie. $239,588, as if to suggest they just added up a bunch of receipts and this is their number). I can appreciate the merits of the round number pricing as more buyers turn to rigid search criteria online, however, only houses worth near to a major round number would even qualify for this strategy. Charm pricing appears in nearly every segment of our lives as buyers, from groceries to cars to shoes (as if to suggest women look at the prices of shoes), and there’s a reason for it. It works. It generates sales, while blissfully pulling the wool over buyers’ eyes. And as sellers, there’s nothing more you could ask for.

 

 

What’s my home worth? This flyer told me I should know.

You know what people hate? Junk mail.

You know what some Realtors love to send people? Junk mail.

I’m sure there are more than a few people wondering what’s involved in one of those “free home evaluations” that you always get a flyer for. Hell, I got two this week (Sorry fellow agents, I threw them out), they must be important. Truth is home evaluations are actually a pretty handy marketing tool for agents, and useful knowledge for homeowners.

Are us Realtors really just giving away services? How do we make money?

As a seller, you've got a few options...

As a seller, you’ve got a few options…

Well, a home evaluation or “complementary market analysis” is a gateway, commonly referred to as a loss leader. They’re like a kids eat free promotion at a restaurant that gets hefty, football-watching, mammoth dads through the door to throw back a giant slab of meaty goodness for $30. Sure you lose out on the 5 bucks from little Jimmy’s grilled cheese and fries, but he’s not paying the bills or making the decisions. Realtors spend the time, for free, to scout your home and harvest you as a prospective client. Then they make that money back down the road on the sale of your home when you inevitably call them because they’ve established a relationship with you. This isn’t a tactic or scheme, it’s smart business. You’re not tied to them at all, so you’re still free to use whoever you’d like. It’s just that you’re more likely to call them, and they now know your home better than any other agent.

Keep in mind that as we go along here, there’s a difference between Realtors and appraisers. A Realtor can quickly give you a very good estimate of your house’s value, often from experience alone. It serves to come up with an attainable list price for your home that the market would be willing to pay. Realtors are often immersed in the marketplace on a daily basis and have a good sense of market conditions. Despite being accurate very often, they are certainly an opinion and the market will react as it will when the time comes. And, just like any business, you may get one or two “professionals” who are off-base, so make sure you do a little homework to pick someone well-qualified (Sidebar: I am well-qualified). It won’t hurt to get a second opinion if you feel the first is out of line.

There are 3 main methods of appraisal: the cost approach, sales comparison approach, and the income approach. The instances where each are used vary, and typically all home evaluations are done via a single means, due to their accuracy and consideration of timing.

The one you’re least likely to see is the income approach, unless you’re selling a multi-unit dwelling from which you garner regular revenues. It is mostly used for commercial and industrial valuations, and involves the use of discount rates and cash flows to determine a reasonable price to generate a sufficient return for the buyer. If comparable properties to the one we’re trying to price have a discount rate around 8%, and our unit brings in $24,000/year, then our value would be $300,000 ($24,000/0.08).

Still with me? Remember, that one doesn’t get used often. If you’re already lost, then I’ve done my selling job and made you need me even more. Excellent.

The second method -one that can be used more frequently in residential valuations- is the cost approach. Effectively, it equates to the cost to replicate the building, if the buyer were to build it to its current condition. It considers the value of the property, and then adds the cost of improvements, before also accounting for depreciation.

Here’s a VERY simplified example:

If a house was worth $250,000, and the seller installed a $10,000 rec room theatre system with a 20 year life, 3 years ago, the cost approach would then re-value the house at $258,500.

Make sense? The trouble with this method is that upgrades rarely see the true cost returned to a seller. If a house goes from a dump to fully-turnkey, there may be a profit margin for the seller. Often though, if there is more work to be done, buyers will see that before the true value of renovations. It is also hard to gauge land value premiums, and incorporate those true costs, since the available for vacant land, particularly in subdivisions, has been slim for many years.

So let’s take a look at the one your Realtor will do for you, since it’s the one that you’re probably most interested in.

The sales comparison approach is what you’ll get when you bring in a Realtor, be it from junk mail or their awesome, informative blog posts- either or. It’s the most effective way of determining market conditions on a city-by-city, neighbourhood-by-neighbourhood, street-by-street basis. Using information that they alone can access, Realtors are able to determine the market value of your home by comparing a number of variables within your home, to others that have sold previously.

A Realtor will develop a list of similar properties called “comparables”, and adjust their estimate of your home’s value by the differences in those homes and the subsequent changes in price associated with those differences. Some common variables include, but are certainly not limited to: the number of bedrooms and bathrooms, square footage, sale date and house style, all of which can have a large impact on the price of the house. With the development of subdivisions and model homes, it’s become even easier to find accurate comparables, since identical layouts and floor plans are used in multiple homes in the same area. Sometimes, variables such as how well a home shows to potential buyers requires putting a dollar value on a qualitative impression. That quantifying ability comes from experience and knowledge of what attracts buyers, along with what buyers are willing to pay for…and ultimately, how much.

Here’s an purely hypothetical example that illustrates the sales comparison approach. Again, it’s very simplified, but hey.

Mike’s house has 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, 1800 square feet and is a 2-storey detached house in the Westminster Woods neighbourhood.

Now, a value is determined for each variable, which is then roughly applied to the price of the best comparables. This can be done using common market estimates of value, or for the most specific info, by virtue of a regression analysis. For the purposes of the example, we’ll say that bedrooms are worth $25,000;  full baths are $20,000; space is valued at $50/sq. ft., and comparable home prices have gone up an average of $24,000 in the past year.

So, with that taken into consideration, Mike’s Realtor finds that a good comparable for his home is another two-storey detached home sold in Westminster Woods, 4 months ago. It had 4 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms and was 1920 square feet. It sold for it’s full asking price of $465,000.

Here is where being decent at math is a big plus. You’d first subtract $25,000 from that price to account for the drop from 4 bedrooms to 3; then take off another $10k for the half-bath Mike doesn’t have. By also having 120 less square feet, the Realtor would drop $6,000 off the $465,000 as well. It’s not all bad news for Mike though. Given the strong market and home values rising $2,000/month, Mike can expect $8,000 more than he would’ve got if the houses had sold at the same time.

Therefore, we can see the value estimate as follows: $465,000-$25,000-$10,000-$6,000+$8,000= $432,000. Even though his house was valued at $432,000, Mike would probably factor some negotiating room into his listing price. For that reason, Realtors are invaluable, since the sale price should be a much greater consideration than the listing price, which is often all the public has access to.

Every house has a price, but finding the right one, right away, is the key to a quick, hassle-free sale. If you comparison shop Realtors and get multiple estimates before listing your home, keep in mind that the highest one isn’t necessarily the best. It might be, and your house may sell for that. But overpricing your house can be dangerous, since a house that sits develops a stigma and can often sell for less than it otherwise may have if priced correctly at the beginning.

Realtors are an invaluable resource when it comes to selling your home. A home evaluation can be helpful to homeowners, even before the time comes to sell. It can help establish a budget for your next purchase, and plan for your future. For a free home evaluation, call me at 519-837-0900, or just wait for anyone to drop a flyer in your mailbox. I know which one I’d choose.