Tag Archives: sales

Fall: PSLs & Busy Realtors

Posted on by
Reply

Gross. A fall blog post. And though I refuse to accept that summer’s over, it’s my job to look ahead to the inevitable. Sorry.

Fall: PSLs & busy Realtors.

What’s 400 calories when you’re working this hard? Honestly.

The Labour Day long weekend traditionally marks the end of summer, but as the saying goes: every ending is a new beginning. And so, without delay, on comes the fall real estate market. Tuesday marks the unofficial launch of what I like to consider the spring market’s little brother.

Over the course of the year, real estate activity has two peaks; once in the spring (often May) and again in the latter months (Sept./Oct.). This means that the number of listings should be picking up as early as next week, although so too does the number of buyers on the lookout. Now, both the number of buyers and sellers is relatively fewer compared to the spring, but will typically grow in both regards from the number of whom were active in the summer months.

I wouldn’t be surprised if this fall remains quieter than usual; given the strength, & especially the duration, of the spring market this year. With activity having remained strong through early August, it wouldn’t be unreasonable to think that the number of people who’ve intended to move in 2015 have mostly done so already. These first couple weeks of September should serve as a good indicator of what to expect over the balance of the fall. If the number of new listings is on the small side, then it would be reasonable to expect overall sales volume to come in low relative to typical fall market expectations.

It’s important to consider when reading, or listening to the media discuss what’s about to transpire, exactly what percentage increases or decreases are relative to. Context here is always very important.

If they say home sales are up 2% in September, it could mean a number of things. For example, if sales in September are up 2% from August, that’s really not much of an increase at all given the typical cycle of real estate sales over the course of the year. You expect a growth in volume in the fall. However, if they’re saying prices are up 2% from August, then that is a very big deal, and as a seller, you could stand to benefit greatly from a piping hot market. The best measure for real estate activity is year-over-year sales, meaning – September 2015 sales compared to September 2014 sales – as that accounts for seasonal variations in activity. The best measure for price growth is month-to-month change, or even better, a rolling average of price changes over the course of a few months.

In summary, get ready for lots of junk mail, sponsored Facebook posts & lawn signs in your neighborhood. But enjoy them, because when they’re gone, so too will be the warm colours, decent weather and Instagram pics of Pumpkin Spice Lattes. And we don’t want that now, do we?

Zehr Bringing Life Back to Downtown Kitchener

Posted on by
Reply

The other day I tweeted that Carl Zehr’s legacy as it pertains to Downtown Kitchener could depend on how strong the sales of OneHundred Condominiums wind up being.

For what it’s worth, the name is derived from its address at 100 Victoria St. S; they’re well clear of 100 units (276 to be exact). OneHundred just sounds cooler. Its sister building, One Victoria is rapidly approaching a sell-out, so Momentum Developments (Red Condominium, The42) is really testing the strength of Downtown Kitchener’s condo market in the face of its unstable past.

Downtown rejuvenations have been focal points of community agendas in both Kitchener and Waterloo for about the past 10 years, with Zehr being Kitchener’s mayor for that entire duration. As his term of leadership comes to an end, the downtown core is markedly improved, though only time will tell whether it’s reached the point where people are lining up to live there.

Downtown Kitchener has seen ups and downs over the past few years as developers looked to find appropriate residential uses for properties in and around the core. Kaufman Lofts was an incredibly successfully loft conversion, and the earliest buyers in that building have seen their investment appreciate astronomically. Additionally, Arrow Lofts was another successful recent project which saw brisk sales and creative floor plans that made downtown living an easy transition for many.

On the other hand, moving deeper into the core has been a battle for City Centre Condominiums. The project has taken longer to come to fruition than first expected, and though it’s now under construction, there are a number of unsold suites in the building. It’s taken about 3 years on the market to reach a sufficient level of pre-sold units to get construction underway.

The cleanup of central & eastern Downtown Kitchener has certainly been slower than the west-side, without the main draws (Tannery/U of W/LRT/Via). To some effect, EOQ (East of Queen) may still have a similar stigma to London’s EOA (East of Adelaide). That said; it’s all part of a natural yet municipally accelerated push towards the rebirth of downtowns across the map. It’s only a matter of time until the influx of disposable income from new downtown residents promotes renovation and growth out from the Victoria/King intersection.

Uptown Waterloo is seeing this same trend, although in fairness, they’ve had quite the head start. The rebranding of Waterloo Town Square, public gathering spaces, Seagram & Bauer Lofts; all have greatly contributed to what is now a thoroughly vibrant and thriving central core. Quick-selling newcomers like RED Condominium at King & Allen have opened the door for other developers to take their shot at being the next big thing.

Reinvesting in downtowns is certainly the smart man’s approach and Mayor Zehr has led an oft-contested push in the right direction. Ten years may seem like a long time, but with some condo projects taking 5 years from sales launch to occupancy; you have to consider that development, particularly re-development, is a slow process. I would guess that OneHundred is looking at a 12-16 month sellout, which is phenomenal from a developer’s perspective. That’d be great for cementing Zehr’s legacy as one of Kitchener’s all-time greats.